محتوى المقال

James E. Hamby Eric Warren Stephen Norris Nicholas D.K. Petraco

الملخص

على مدار 30 عامًا، تم تقييم عدد من أظرف الطلقات النارية المستخدمة في مسدسات جلوك. وتم استخدام ما مجموعه 3156 سلاحاً نارياً من نوع جلوك لتوليد عينة بنفس الحجم. كانت فرضيتنا البحثية هي أنه لن يتم الخلط بين أي من أظرف الطلقات النارية التي تم إطلاقها من مسدسات جلوك نصف آلية مختلفة عيار 9 مم على أنها قادمة من نفس السلاح (مطابقة خاطئة). وتم إجراء تجربتين منفصلتين لاختبار هذه الفرضية باستخدام مجهر المقارنة البصرية. ثم خضعت عينة فرعية مكونة من 617 حبة قذيفة نارية تم اختبار إطلاقها للمقارنة الخوارزمية بواسطة نظام تحديد المقذوفات المتكامل (IBIS). التجربة الثانية خضعت المجموعة الكاملة المكونة من 3156 طلقة نارية للمقارنات اليدوية باستخدام مطابقة النمط التقليدية. ولم يتم «مطابقة» أي من الطلقات النارية في أي من هاتين التجربتين. باستخدام هذه النتائج التجريبية، تم استخدام نموذج احتمالية بايزي المحافظ لتقدير احتمال أن يتم الخلط بين أظرف الطلقات النارية عيار 9 مم، تم إطلاقها من مسدس جلوك، على أنها قادمة من نفس السلاح بينما في الواقع لم يكن كذلك (أي احتمال المطابقة الخاطئة).

التنزيلات

تنزيل البيانات ليس متاحًا بعد.

المراجع

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