تحولات الطاقة وتأثيرها الجيوسياسي على الأمن الوطني: حالة سلطنة عمان

Abstract

The study monitored the process of transition toward new energy and attempted to foresee the geopolitical implications that will result from this shift—or transition—regardless of the timeframe required for this process, the extent to which real opportunities and strong foundations for this transformation are available, and, at the same time, the ability of states to overcome the numerous challenges facing the global energy transition. It also focused on the experience of the Sultanate of Oman as a pioneering nation in the field of energy transition in the Middle East.

Regarding the geopolitical implications of the energy transition, the study concluded that this issue is likewise complex, and it is difficult to finalize definitive perceptions regarding it. The concept of energy transition, or new energy security, is linked to several geopolitical branches, issues, and concepts, such as: supply chains, the map of inter-trade between countries and regions, the geography of energy and transport routes, energy resources and their capacity to alter known centers of power in favor of new states and regions, and new regional and global alliances and blocs. Consequently, it is not easy to predict fundamental changes in interactions. The study concluded with a number of recommendations, including: developing national capabilities in the field of renewable energy security through lectures, awareness activities, and training cadres on the new concepts of energy security within security institutions.